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Sean Payton’s gamble: The decision that derailed the Broncos’ Super Bowl dreams

  • On Jan. 25, 2026, Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton kept his offense on the field at the New England 14-yard line on fourth-and-1, but backup quarterback Jarrett Stidham failed to convert, a decision that proved costly.
  • The coach's analytics-first approach guided the call as Payton followed Romer-era analytics and relied on Evan Rothstein despite snow threatening kicking conditions.
  • Payton called 11 personnel and ran Nickel Duo on fourth-and-short, but New England showed Red Two behind a six-man front, pressuring Jarrett Stidham whose pass was incomplete.
  • Denver left three points on the field and lost its best scoring chance as the Broncos offense never reached inside the New England 30 again, enabling the Patriots field-position sequence to tie the game.
  • The call adds to scrutiny of Payton's playoff legacy as he expressed regret, saying `I wish I'd stayed with the initial play call`, while Rex Ryan and Mark Schlereth criticized relying on analytics with a backup quarterback.
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Sean Payton's gamble: The decision that derailed the Broncos' Super Bowl dreams

Sean Payton's decision to go for it on fourth down instead of kicking a field goal has sparked plenty of debate after the Denver Broncos' 10-7 loss to the New England Patriots in the AFC championship.

·United States
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USA Today broke the news in United States on Sunday, January 25, 2026.
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