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Commentary: The Bar US Set for Victory in Iran Is Higher than Khamenei’s Death

Satellite images show U.S. increased military aircraft to 43 at Prince Sultan Airbase as part of deterrence amid Iran tensions and ongoing Oman-mediated talks.

  • On February 27, Reuters reported satellite images showing at least 43 aircraft at Prince Sultan Airbase on February 21, up from 27 on February 17, amid regional tensions.
  • Last month, Saudi Arabia told Iran it would not allow its territory for military actions, while Oman, mediator, said Thursday talks made progress but no breakthrough averted strikes.
  • At least 43 aircraft appeared on February 21 imagery, including 13 Boeing KC-135 Stratotankers and six Boeing E-3 Sentry AWACS among 29 large swept-wing aircraft, William Goodhind said; the Pentagon declined to comment, saying it had `nothing to provide`.
  • Analysts warn any U.S. attack on Iran could trigger retaliation against Israel, while France's Foreign Ministry and Britain issued travel warnings as technical-level talks in Vienna are scheduled next week.
  • Comparisons of early-February imagery with January images show a wider regional build-up of aircraft and equipment while satellite review also found Iran repairing sites, including a facility reportedly bombed by Israel in 2024.
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Al-Monitor broke the news in Washington, United States on Friday, February 27, 2026.
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