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Russia planning attack on Poland to test Nato resolve, US warns

Washington says Moscow may use missiles, drones or border incursions to pressure NATO allies into cutting aid to Ukraine.

  • Washington has warned Warsaw that Russia is planning an armed "provocation" to test NATO's resolve, potentially targeting vital infrastructure with missiles or drones.
  • Sources close to Polish President Karol Nawrocki suggest Moscow aims to provoke tensions and pressure Ukraine's Western allies into suspending military aid to Kyiv.
  • Polish intelligence sources warned of a "hybrid attack in the border region," possibly involving a staged accident with GPS failure or fake rescue mission, as Warsaw's security services acknowledge ground incursion remains possible.
  • A report published on Thursday by the International Institute of Strategic Studies found Russia used shadow ships to launch drones over Europe, plotting 144 suspected sightings testing NATO air defenses.
  • Baltic sources warn that provocations could be staged from Kaliningrad, the Russian exclave bordering Poland, testing NATO's eastern flank where Washington systematically informs allies about evolving Russian plans.
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Russia is planning an armed “provocation” against Poland within a couple of months. The US is warning about this, according to reports. Prime Minister Donald Tusk says the coming months “could be critical.”

·Stockholm, Sweden
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Russia is reportedly planning an armed provocation against Poland, reports The Telegraph, citing the Polish news site Onet. The reason? To test NATO's resolve. The goal? To escalate tensions, divide the West and weaken support for Ukraine.

·Stockholm, Sweden
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Bild broke the news in Berlin, Germany on Wednesday, July 1, 2026.
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