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Russia Losing Troops Faster Than It Can Replace Them, Western Officials Say

Western officials report Russian troop losses surpassing recruitment by 9,000 in January, raising concerns about Moscow's ability to sustain its forces in Ukraine.

  • On February 24, 2026, Western officials said Russia sustained around 9,000 more battlefield losses than it could replace last month, an assessment that could not be independently verified as Russia rarely discloses casualty data.
  • Ukraine says rising frontline mortality cannot be sustained by Russian recruitment, citing poor tactics, corruption, low morale, and increased lethality of drone operations, according to its top general.
  • CSIS estimated about 1.2 million Russian casualties, including at least 325,000 deaths, last month, while Ukraine's General Staff reported just over 1.25 million total casualties, with 31,680 more last month.
  • Russian forces failed to secure significant gains despite heavy losses last month, and at the current rate, taking eastern Donetsk would take two years; mobilisation risks political fallout from the September 2022 call‑up of 300,000 reservists.
  • The conflict's broader toll includes roughly two million military casualties, Ukraine losing a quarter of its pre-war population of 42 million, and $300bn in Russian reserves held in Western financial institutions.
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Four years and hundreds of thousands of deaths later, Russia continues its offensive in Ukraine but struggles to recruit fresh blood despite the...

·Brussels, Belgium
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  • 45% of the sources lean Right
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CEPA broke the news in on Wednesday, January 22, 2025.
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