Russia Has Enough Resources to Wage War Through 2028, Ukraine's Military Intelligence Says
Ukraine’s intelligence chief says sanctions and strikes are forcing Russia to divert resources as the federal budget deficit reaches $82 billion.
- On September 7, in an interview with Ukrinform, Ukraine's Defense Intelligence Chief Oleh Ivashchenko stated that Russia is economically weaker than at the invasion's start, yet likely possesses resources to sustain the war through 2027 and 2028.
- Ivashchenko identified the main problems of the Russian economy as labor shortages, a growing $82 billion federal budget deficit, and deteriorating banking conditions that have worsened since the invasion began.
- Ukrainian strikes against energy infrastructure force Russia to halt production, repair facilities, and redeploy air defenses, disrupting logistics hubs and contributing significantly to the country's financial instability.
- Despite sanctions, a Chinese state-owned company supplied a Rosatom subsidiary with 46 metric tons of carbon-fiber-related chemicals, demonstrating Russia's continued access to critical foreign materials for weapons production.
- Ukrainian intelligence warns that intensified attacks on energy infrastructure are expected this winter, emphasizing that continued international pressure is necessary to further erode Moscow's ability to finance and sustain the war.
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30 Articles
The Kremlin has enough resources to wage war for another two years, Oleh Ivashchenko, the head of Ukraine's military intelligence (HUR), told the Ukrinform website on Monday.
Russia's spending on the war in Ukraine reached a new record in the first half of 2026. Moscow allocated 10,687 trillion rubles for war financing, according to an analysis based on data from the Russian Ministry of Finance.
On average, the Kremlin's military machine eats 1.78 trillion rubles a month — more than $20 billion.
ACCORDING to Ukrainian intelligence, Russia has the resources to continue the war until 2028, despite economic problems and Ukrainian strikes on oil infrastructure and logistics.
Russia's federal budget expenditures for the war against Ukraine in the first half of 2026 reached a new record value - 10.687 billion rubles, Janis Kluge, research associate of the German Institute for International Security Problems, calculated based on data from the Ministry of Finance.
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