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UK Profit Warnings Citing Geopolitics Hit a Record High, EY Says

UNITED KINGDOM, JUL 20 – Profit warnings among UK-listed retailers rose 20% in Q2 2025, with 46% citing policy changes and geopolitical uncertainty as key factors, the highest in over 25 years.

  • In the second quarter of 2025, UK-listed companies issued 20% more profit warnings, reaching 59, up from 49 last year.
  • Since last autumn's Budget, Britain's retail sector has faced pressure from policy changes and rising costs, including April's NICs and minimum wage hikes, which affected consumer spending.
  • Nearly half of warnings cited policy change and geopolitical uncertainty in 46%, up from 4% a year earlier, the highest in over 25 years.
  • Since October 2024, UK payrolls have contracted by more than 184,000, affecting retail and hospitality sectors, with 70% of job losses in these areas.
  • As uncertainty persists, companies must combine agility with strategy, and 2025 will test resilience as much as results.
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Incap issued a negative profit warning, citing, among other things, the effects of exchange rates

Politics and events have 'greater impact on value and profits than in many decades,' study shows

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The Independent broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Sunday, July 20, 2025.
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