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Republican Steve Hilton Surges Ahead in California Governor’s Race

Republican Steve Hilton leads with 17% in a fragmented governor primary while 21% of California voters remain undecided, according to Emerson College Polling.

  • In the new Emerson/Inside California Politics poll, 21% of 1,000 likely voters surveyed on Feb. 13 and Feb. 14 remain undecided, with Hilton leading at 17.1%.
  • The Democratic electorate remains divided, with 23% supporting Swalwell, 14% Porter, and 22% undecided, reflecting shifting support since December, according to Emerson polling.
  • Rep. Eric Swalwell polls at 14.1%, a two-point increase, Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco is at 13.5%, and former Rep. Katie Porter sits at 9.8%, down one point since December.
  • A split field raises the possibility that California's top-two primary system could send two candidates of the same party to the general election, Hilton warned Bianco could `act as a spoiler` by dividing support.
  • Voters cite cost-of-living pain, with 53% considering leaving California, economy and housing affordability as top issues, while Gov. Gavin Newsom's approval stands at 44%.
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Bias Distribution

  • 44% of the sources lean Right
44% Right

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Political Wire broke the news in New York, United States on Wednesday, February 18, 2026.
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