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Legendary Hedge Fund Investor Ray Dalio Warns the AI Bubble Could Burst

Dalio said companies can mint paper billionaires with little cash as stock issuance surges and leveraged bets build.

  • Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio warned on The Diary of a CEO that AI enthusiasm has pushed markets into bubble territory reminiscent of 1929 and 2000, stating, "Classic signs that we’re in."
  • The "Big Cycle," a roughly 80-year pattern of debt and geopolitical conflict, provides the context for Dalio’s warning, with surging stock issuance and rising interest rates typically serving to "prick" a bubble.
  • Describing the market as "crapshooting," Dalio noted that unsophisticated investors are fueling leveraged bets, adding, "There’s almost nothing that’s easier to produce than stock," as companies mint paper billionaires without actual cash.
  • Maelstrom co-founder Arthur Hayes warned that debt-fueled AI infrastructure spending mirrors 2008 risks; while Big Tech companies committed about $1.09 trillion to future data center leases, Hayes described the boom as a "credit story."
  • Bursting bubbles spark geopolitical instability, Dalio cautioned, "You have people at each other’s throats," suggesting that preparing for social unrest may be more critical than managing portfolio losses when the cycle turns.
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  • 60% of the sources are Center
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Fortune broke the news in New York, United States on Tuesday, August 4, 2026.
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