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Dollar Slips Further as Anticipation Mounts of Fed Interest Rate Cut

Political pressure mounts on the Federal Reserve amid tariff-driven inflation concerns and slowing labor market; markets price in over 90% chance of a September rate cut, CME FedWatch shows.

  • Market analysts and traders now assign over a 90% probability that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at its September 16–17 meeting.
  • This expectation arises amid weakening US labor data, persistent political pressure including calls by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent for a series of cuts, and significant downward revisions of past economic figures.
  • The US dollar has weakened for several sessions, with the dollar index falling to its lowest since late July, while Asian currencies like the Thai baht have strengthened amid heavy dollar selling and expectations of Fed easing.
  • Bitcoin has surged to record highs above $124,000, driven by anticipation of Fed easing and rising institutional cryptocurrency investment, reflecting broader market nervousness about economic volatility.
  • These developments suggest a volatile second half of 2025 marked by slowing US growth, potential tariff escalations, and significant shifts in monetary policy that will critically influence global market stability.
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The national currency began the session with an appreciation of 0.03 percent, or 0.5 cents, listing around 18.59 pesos per dollar, with the exchange rate reaching a maximum of 18.61, as well as a new minimum of 18.51 pesos per dollar in the international Forex market. Gabriela Siller, director of economic analysis at Grupo Financiero Base, said it was a behavior not seen since August 1, 2024. The appreciation of the peso goes along with a weaken…

Thursday's trading starts with a favorable international backdrop for the forint, as the weakening dollar and expectations of a Fed rate cut support emerging market currencies. USD/HUF is near the 337 level, while EUR/HUF is still around 395, and the domestic interest rate level strengthens the attractiveness of the carry trade. During the day, the industrial and construction data of the Central Bank of Hungary and the balance of payments of the…

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Monex Europe broke the news in on Wednesday, August 13, 2025.
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