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Social Security on the Edge: Cuts Coming as Soon as 2032

The trustees say lifting the payroll tax cap would cover only part of the gap, leaving lawmakers to choose between cuts and broader tax increases.

  • Last week, the Social Security Administration released its annual trustees report revealing the OASI trust fund is now projected to run dry in 2032, one year sooner than previously estimated.
  • Deteriorating demographics and the One Big Beautiful Bill Act are driving the shortfall, with the CRFB estimating this legislation accounts for roughly a quarter of the year-over-year deterioration.
  • The CRFB warned that no state will be spared from the projected 22% benefit cut; a typical couple retiring in 2033 faces an $18,400 annual reduction.
  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent insisted the administration will not touch benefits or raise taxes, framing faster economic growth as the solution to the $31 trillion gap.
  • The Trustees urged Congress to act now, warning that policymakers face a shrinking menu of options including payroll tax increases or benefit cuts to restore solvency.
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13 Articles

NewsdayNewsday
+3 Reposted by 3 other sources
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Raise Social Security taxes — and cut benefits, too

The reality of math is catching up with the reality of aging.

·United States
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  • 45% of the sources lean Right
45% Right

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manhattan.institute broke the news on Monday, June 15, 2026.
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