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Rachel Reeves hints taxes may rise because of benefits retreat

  • Rachel Reeves signals a £5 billion shortfall will be addressed with tax rises ahead of the autumn Budget.
  • Backbench MPs' pressure led to a government retreat on welfare cuts, including removing the two-child benefit cap, which is estimated to cost around £3.5 billion, contributing to a £5 billion shortfall.
  • The IFS projects up to £40 billion in tax rises due to downgraded growth and rising welfare costs, leaving Reeves 'stuck between a rock and a hard place.'
  • Reeves warns that tax rises to cover welfare shortfalls could reach up to £40 billion, with decisions due in her Mansion House speech before the autumn Budget.
  • Reeves is set to confirm tax plans in her Mansion House speech ahead of the autumn Budget, amid warnings of a potential £40 billion shortfall due to welfare policy reversals.
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The Independent broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Thursday, July 3, 2025.
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