Poll suggest SNP could win 62 Holyrood seats with Reform in second

SNP projected to fall short of Holyrood majority as Reform make massive gains

Figures obtained by the Diffley Partnership predict that voters will elect 62 nationalist MSPs, two seats fewer than in 2021.

Poll suggests SNP could win 62 Holyrood seats with Reform in second

The survey was carried out on 1,068 people between March 16 and 23.

Poll suggest SNP could win 62 Holyrood seats with Reform in second

Nationalists would be just three seats short of majority, with Labour third and Tories fourth

SNP in 'touching distance' of Holyrood majority and Reform in second, new poll says

THE SNP could win 62 seats in the Holyrood election with Reform UK narrowly in second place, a new poll has suggested.

How anti-Reform tactical voting could deny the SNP a majority

NEW: Scottish Parliament Voting Intention (Constituency Vote)SNP 35% (-2)RFM 19% (+2)LAB 19% (+1)CON 11% (-1)LD 8% (-1)GRN 8% (+2)F/w 16th-23rd March 2026. Changes vs 25/02/2026 Read more: https://t.co/baFIlaY5VR?1/5 pic.twitter.com/86Wc6lVa1F— Survation. (@Survation) March 31, 2026 With the SNP just shy of forming a majority, and Reform UK and Labour battling for second place, we found that if the latter two parties were seen as the only parti…

Poll Suggests SNP Close to Majority as Election Race Tightens

A new poll has suggested the SNP is within reach of securing a majority in the Scottish Parliament as the election campaign continues. The Survation poll, released by the Diffley Partnership, projects the SNP on 62 seats, just short of an outright majority. Labour is projected to finish in third place on 18 seats, with Reform UK slightly ahead on 19 seats. The findings add to a growing body of polling suggesting a closely contested election, wit…