New Poll Shows Bass Has Slim Lead over Raman, Pratt in LA Mayoral Election
Raman and Pratt each gained 8 points since March as undecided voters fell to 10%, leaving Bass with a statistically insignificant edge.
- A new UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times poll shows Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass at 26 percent, narrowly ahead of Councilmember Nithya Raman at 25 percent and Spencer Pratt at 22 percent, with pollsters calling the lead statistically insignificant.
- Undecided voters have dropped sharply from 26 percent in March to 10 percent, as the race has tightened around voter concerns over homelessness, housing affordability, and fallout from the 2025 Palisades Fire and the ongoing Sandy Fire.
- Campaign finance reports filed last week show Pratt with $3.26 million in contributions through May 16, followed by Bass with $3.13 million. Gov. Gavin Newsom endorsed Bass on Thursday, saying "the work Karen Bass is doing in Los Angeles is making our entire state stronger."
- Potential runoff scenarios show Bass leading Pratt 47 percent to 29 percent and Raman leading Pratt 45 percent to 28 percent, though a head-to-head between Bass and Raman shows Raman leading 32 percent to 28 percent.
- The June 2 primary will determine which two candidates advance to the November runoff election, with the race hinging on turnout as analysts describe the current polling margins as statistically insignificant.
18 Articles
18 Articles
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This piece looks at why Karen Bass is holding a lead in the Los Angeles mayoral race despite visible failures on wildfire response, homelessness, public safety, and infrastructure, and why a reality TV candidate like Spencer Pratt is gaining traction as voters grow fed up with the status quo. The Emerson College poll puts Bass at 30 percent while Spencer Pratt has surged to 22 percent and Councilmember Nithya Raman lurks nearby. On the streets, …
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- 35% of the sources are Center, 35% of the sources lean Right
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