Skip to main content
institutional access

You are connecting from
Lake Geneva Public Library,
please login or register to take advantage of your institution's Ground News Plan.

Published loading...Updated

Poll: Gap between SNP and Reform UK narrows, but nationalists on track to win in Scotland

A More in Common poll shows Reform UK has risen to 20% in regional votes while SNP leads with 25%, maintaining dominance among pro-independence voters at 61%.

  • More in Common's new poll shows Reform UK is now five points behind the SNP on the regional list, according to a survey of 1,017 Scottish adults last month.
  • Reform UK's growth stems from attracting votes from the Conservative Party and fracturing unionist support, as More in Common analysis shows support among unionists is now 31%.
  • Breaking down constituency and list ballots reveals the SNP on 35% and Reform UK on 19%, with SNP maintaining a 16-point lead in the constituency vote.
  • Because the pro-independence vote is unified, Curtice's seat projection indicates the SNP would win 59 seats, Reform 19, and Labour 19, with opposition split across four parties.
  • Warning that Reform may have peaked, Mairi McAllan, Scotland's Housing Secretary and senior SNP MSP, said Reform UK lacks credibility despite worries about new voters turning out for May 7 election.
Insights by Ground AI

Bias Distribution

  • 67% of the sources lean Left
67% Left

Factuality Info Icon

To view factuality data please Upgrade to Premium

Ownership

Info Icon

To view ownership data please Upgrade to Vantage

The Scotsman broke the news in Scotland, United Kingdom on Friday, February 6, 2026.
Too Big Arrow Icon
Sources are mostly out of (0)

Similar News Topics

News
Feed Dots Icon
For You
Search Icon
Search
Blindspot LogoBlindspotLocal