Poll: Casey DeSantis holds narrow edge over Byron Donalds among Florida Republicans
FLORIDA, JUL 24 – Casey DeSantis holds 32% support among Florida Republicans, narrowly ahead of Byron Donalds' 29% in a poll with a 3.9-point margin of error, despite Trump's backing of Donalds.
- On July 24, a University of North Florida poll showed Casey DeSantis leading Byron Donalds 32%-29% among Florida Republicans, based on a survey of 797 voters.
- Investigative reports and legislative scrutiny targeted her Hope Florida Foundation’s finances, focusing on a $10 million Medicaid settlement donation.
- DeSantis holds an edge among women, Hispanics and Latinos, and north/central Florida voters, while Donalds performs better with men, voters aged 65+ and South Florida Republicans, with a three-point margin within the survey’s margin of error.
- With a 15-point advantage among past primary voters, Donalds appears stronger in that group, said Michael Binder, UNF PORL faculty director.
- Over a year out from the contest, foundation scrutiny poses potential risks for DeSantis, and the primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026, with support likely to shift, said Dr. Sean Freeder.
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Poll: Casey DeSantis Holds Slim Lead Over Byron Donalds in Early 2026 GOP Governor Primary Field
JACKSONVILLE, Fla. — Florida First Lady Casey DeSantis holds a narrow lead over U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds in the early stages of the 2026 Republican primary for governor, according to a new poll released Wednesday by the University of North Florida’s Public Opinion Research Lab (PORL). The survey of 797 registered Republican voters shows DeSantis […] The post Poll: Casey DeSantis Holds Slim Lead Over Byron Donalds in Early 2026 GOP Governor Primar…


Poll finds Casey DeSantis, Byron Donalds tied. Likely Republican governor primary voters favoring Donalds
Byron Donalds and Casey DeSantis are effectively tied in a University of North Florida poll about Republican preferences for governor in 2026. And Republican voters strongly approve of Gov. Ron DeSantis' and President Donald Trump's performances.
Poll: Florida Republicans prefer Casey DeSantis for governor over Trump pick U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds
As the 2026 gubernatorial race approaches, the poll suggests a closely contested primary among Florida Republicans, with significant attention on key issues such as property insurance and housing costs.


UNF poll: Casey DeSantis now leads Byron Donalds in race for Florida governor
A University of North Florida poll shows First Lady Casey DeSantis leading U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds 32%-29% in the GOP primary for governor.
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Bias Distribution
- 73% of the sources are Center
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