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Poll: Bolsonaro Narrows Lula's Lead in Brazil's Election

The runoff remains effectively tied within the poll’s 2-point margin of error as Bolsonaro narrows Lula’s lead ahead of October’s vote.

  • On Friday, a Quaest poll showed Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva continues to lead Senator Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of October's election in Brazil, though the right-wing challenger has narrowed the gap.
  • Brazil's electoral system requires that if no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the first round, the two frontrunners must advance to a runoff election.
  • In a first-round scenario, Lula leads with 38% of the votes, followed by Bolsonaro , Renan Santos , Ronaldo Caiado , and Romeu Zema .
  • Simulated second-round results show Lula receiving 43% support compared with 40% for Bolsonaro, though the poll represents a virtual tie within its two-percentage-point margin of error.
  • Quaest surveyed 2,004 people between August 10-13 to gauge voter sentiment, as Flavio Bolsonaro, the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, continues his challenge against the incumbent.
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116 Articles

Lean Left

Who will become Brazil's president? President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva conjures up the rights of women in front of tens of thousands of people. Challenger Flávio Bolsonaro also talks about femicide. And makes a radical election promise.

·Hamburg, Germany
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Center

In Brazil, the two most promising top candidates have opened the presidential election campaign with major events.

·Germany
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Lean Right

The ruling party and the opposition launched their campaigns this Sunday in historic bastions: Sao Bernardo do Campo and Copacabana, while the polls of the week show an increasingly tight second round between the president and the ultra-right senator.

·Las Condes, Chile
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Lean Left

There are no campaigns as in the past. In other times, candidates invited the voter to open the horizon. Today, Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro display the rearview mirror to the audience. Both chose as the opening venue places between the illusion and

·São Paulo, Brazil
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Center

The senator and candidate of the Liberal Party (PL) to the President of Brazil, Flávio Bolsonaro, made his first official act of campaigning this Sunday in a speech marked by attacks on the Brazilian head of state, Lula da Silva

·Paço de Arcos, Portugal
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PerthNowPerthNow
+5 Reposted by 5 other sources
Center

Brazil's Lula and rival kick off presidential campaigns

Brazil's presidential candidates have kicked off their campaigns ahead of what is expected to be tight election in October.

·Osborne Park, Australia
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Bias Distribution

  • 36% of the sources are Center
36% Center

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The Mighty 790 KFGO broke the news on Friday, August 14, 2026.
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