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Poll: 41% of conservative voters favor VP Vance in 2028 presidential primary

The Center Square poll shows Vance ahead of Marco Rubio, with support steady across voter groups and 41% backing the vice president.

  • Vice President Vance leads the 2028 Republican presidential primary field with 41% support in The Center Square Voters' Voice Poll, marking his strongest showing to date.
  • Noble Predictive Insights surveyed 930 registered Republicans and 269 right-leaning Independents from Aug. 12-16, tracking Vance's trajectory since he began with 38% support in fall 2025.
  • Vance maintains steady support across demographics, performing strongest among rural voters, President Donald Trump supporters, and Midwest respondents at 46%, 45%, and 46% respectively.
  • Secretary of State Marco Rubio remains second choice at 17% in Aug., the only other candidate polling in double digits after Trump was removed from the list.
  • The poll carries a margin of error of ±2.0%. Unlike former Vice President Kamala Harris, Vance performs nearly equally well among women and men across all age groups.
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Poll: 41% of conservative voters favor VP Vance in 2028 presidential primary

(The Center Square) – Vice President JD Vance remains the clear favorite in a prospective 2028 Republican presidential primary, with 41% of Republicans and right-leaning Independents saying they would vote for him in The Center Square Voters’ Voice Poll.

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Bias Distribution

  • 65% of the sources are Center
65% Center

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The Indiana Gazette Online broke the news in Indiana, United States on Monday, August 24, 2026.
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