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Philadelphia Fed's Anna Paulson says 'modest' rate moves likely ahead to tame inflation

Paulson said underlying inflation is still running about 2.5% to 3%, and traders now see a 64% chance of another hike in October.

  • On Thursday, Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Anna Paulson said she and her colleagues may need to raise interest rates further to bring inflation back to the central bank's 2% target.
  • Paulson supported the central bank's decision last week to raise the benchmark rate to a range of 3.75%-4%, noting 'the balance of risks had shifted' as underlying inflation showed little progress.
  • Underlying inflation is running in a range of about 2.5% to 3%, well above the 2% target, and Paulson noted, 'The best I can say about underlying inflation this year is that it hasn't gotten worse.'
  • New York Fed President John Williams said earlier Thursday it's 'reasonable' to expect another hike before year-end, while traders are pricing in a 64% chance the FOMC hikes again in October.
  • Fed funds futures contracts imply a rate of 4.8% by the end of 2027, suggesting four quarter-point increases ahead, while Paulson described a 'resilient economy' showing momentum despite tariffs and Middle East conflict.
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  • 67% of the sources are Center
67% Center

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Terra broke the news on Thursday, September 24, 2026.
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