Paxton trails Talarico by 2 points in new Texas Senate poll
The survey shows Talarico with 97% of Democrats and 63% of independents, while Paxton trails amid lingering concerns over his record.
- On Tuesday, Texas Southern University's Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center released a poll showing Democratic state Rep. James Talarico leading Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton 47% to 45% among 1,200 likely voters surveyed July 27–30.
- Texas has not elected a Democrat to statewide office in 32 years, yet this race shifts as Paxton faces scrutiny over his 2023 impeachment trial regarding alleged bribery and abuse of public trust.
- Independent voters favor Talarico 63% to 23%, while 97% of Democrats back him compared to 85% of Republicans supporting Paxton, revealing party consolidation challenges for the attorney general.
- Despite securing 79% support among Black voters, Talarico confronts ongoing friction as 77% of Black Texans believe the Democratic Party takes them "for granted" following the contentious March primary.
- Prediction markets reflect the tightening race as Paxton's victory probability slipped to 52% on Tuesday from 59% one month earlier, while traders react to polling shifts and campaign developments.
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Who’s leading Texas’ U.S. Senate race? Tracking Paxton vs. Talarico polls
WOAI NBC News Channel 4 San Antonio provides local news, weather forecasts, traffic updates, investigations, and items of interest in the community, sports and entertainment programming for San Antonio and nearby towns and communities in South Central Texas, including Windcrest, Uvalde, Universal City, Somerset, Seguin, Schertz, San Marcos, Sabinal, Poth, Poteet, Pleasanton, Pearsall, New Braunfels, Live Oak, Kerrville, Hondo, Helotes, Goliad, F…
Democrat James Talarico commands significant lead among independent voters over Republican Ken Paxton in closely watched Texas Senate race
Democratic state Rep. James Talarico holds a commanding lead among independent voters over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the closely watched Texas Senate race, according to a new poll released on Tuesday, August 4. The Texas Southern University (TSU) survey found Talarico narrowly ahead overall despite Texas’ Republican lean, meaning independent voters could shape...
'Fake' moderate Talarico's Texas surge tests Paxton in fight to hold crucial GOP Senate seat
Ken Paxton says he is undeterred by poll showing James Talarico leading in the Texas Senate race, accusing the Democrat of hiding a socialist agenda on border security and other issues.
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- 39% of the sources are Center
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