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OSINT Report Claims Russia's Net Territory in Ukraine Turns Negative for First Time Since 2023

DeepState said Russian assault operations rose 37.5% in May even as Ukraine’s counterattacks and drone strikes cut Moscow’s net gains below zero.

  • On Monday, June 1, 2026, Ukrainian monitoring group DeepState reported that Russian territorial gains in May slipped into negative for the first time since 2023, despite a 37.5% increase in assault operations.
  • Russian forces faced significant difficulties throughout May, marking the lowest territorial gains since their strategic offensive began in October 2023, while continuing to press west of Pokrovsk with more than 100,000 troops.
  • Attacks across Ukraine killed three people and injured over 60 over the past day, local authorities reported, including a drone strike in Odesa that partially destroyed a residential apartment building.
  • Kyrylo Budanov, Head of the President's Office, stated on June 1 that ending the war before winter 2026 is realistic, an assessment aligning with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's recent remarks on potential peace talks.
  • Retired Australian Army Major-General Mick Ryan noted that Russia failed to gain 'any real momentum' in its spring offensive, emphasizing that the second half of 2026 remains critical as fiercer fighting typically occurs in fall.
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The Russian military occupied 14 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory in May, the least since October 2023, the DeepState group of Ukrainian military analysts reported on Monday. In October 2023, Russia launched a large-scale offensive in most sections of the front line after a Ukrainian counteroffensive failed in the summer.

Lean Left

In May 2026, Russian troops occupied 14 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory. This is the lowest figure for occupied lands since October 2023, when the Russian Federation launched a large-scale offensive operation on most sections of the front. This is reported by the analytical project DeepState. In May, more than seven thousand Russian assault attacks were also recorded, which is 37.5% more than before. It is reported that despite the incr…

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Atlantic Council broke the news in Washington, United States on Wednesday, May 6, 2026.
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