Opinion polls see France's Le Pen winning 2027 election despite guilty verdict
The Ifop survey shows Le Pen ahead in every runoff test, with 984 registered voters questioned and a 54-46 lead over Édouard Philippe.
- National polls by Ifop and Toluna Harris Interactive show National Rally leader Marine Le Pen leading first-round voting intentions at 36%, with projections showing her winning every hypothetical run-off against potential opponents.
- Le Pen announced her candidacy on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, after a Paris appeals court reduced an election ban despite upholding her conviction for misusing European Parliament funds.
- Against Edouard Philippe, Le Pen secures 54 per cent in run-off scenarios, while maintaining a 36 per cent first-round lead ahead of Jean-Luc Melenchon and other candidates.
- Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure called Le Pen a "formidable candidate", though opponents criticized her decision to run given her legal conviction for misusing funds.
- The Cour de Cassation aims to deliver a final verdict on Le Pen's appeal before the April 18, 2027 election, which pollsters describe as a snapshot rather than a forecast.
35 Articles
35 Articles
The head of the National Assembly Party (Rassemblement National, extreme right) Marine Le Pen launched his presidential campaign with an advance of up to 17 percentage points against his rival Édouard Philippe, despite the fact that she was convicted of misappropriation of public funds, shows two polls, reports BFMTV.
Le Pen frontrunner for French president – polls
The veteran politician has been cleared to contest next year’s election Veteran French politician Marine Le Pen is the early favorite to win France’s presidential election next year after an appeals court ruled her eligible to run, opinion polls suggest. Le Pen, the longtime figurehead of the right-wing National Rally (RN), reached the presidential runoff...
ledauphine.com
Opinion studies conducted after Marine Le Pen's conviction on appeal show that although she is high in the polls, her image has suffered, including in the electorate of the National Rally.
France's extreme right-wing leader, Marine Le Pen, can win next year's presidential election despite an appeal court having held its condemnation this week for diverting resources from the European Union, suggest two opinion polls. Much can happen until the first round, scheduled for 18 April next year, and the institutes emphasize that the surveys are not a prediction, but only a portrait of current voting intentions.
Meanwhile, the gap between the leading candidates is rapidly narrowing. Marine Le Pen, leader of the far-right National Rally, has a high chance of winning both rounds of the 2027 French presidential election, according to RBC-Ukraine, citing a Toluna Harris Interactive poll for RTL. According to the study, Le Pen could receive 35% of the vote in the first round. This result is predicted to occur if Gabrielle Attal, leader of the Renaissance par…
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Bias Distribution
- 52% of the sources lean Right
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