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UAE Dismisses Fears of Oil Glut

OPEC+ will raise output by 137,000 barrels per day in December 2025 but pause increases in early 2026 due to seasonal demand softness and market uncertainties, amid expected 1.3 million bpd demand growth.

  • On Sunday, OPEC+ producers agreed a small rise in crude output for December while pausing increases for the first quarter of 2026, with eight members raising targets by about 2.9 million bpd since April.
  • Citing `seasonality`, OPEC said the pause beyond December reflects weaker first quarter of 2026 demand and acts as insurance against supply and demand uncertainties.
  • Analysts note a divergence between OPEC and the International Energy Agency, with OPEC more confident demand will hold while the IEA warns a surplus could reach 4 million bpd and a Reuters poll projects 1.6 million bpd in 2026.
  • Asia's demand rebounded, with LSEG Oil Research estimating imports rose to 28.59 million bpd in October from 27.1 million bpd, led by price-sensitive China at 12.21 million bpd and India at 5.05 million bpd.
  • On Monday, the UAE energy minister said the United Arab Emirates does not expect oversupply and remains broadly aligned with OPEC peers in recent weeks, staying bullish on demand.
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The OPEC oil cartel and its allies, OPEC+, agreed to increase oil production by 137,000 barrels per day in December. However, the cartel signaled that it would pause production increases after December.

·Estonia
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Daily Finland broke the news in Helsinki, Finland on Sunday, November 2, 2025.
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