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Oil prices return to 100 dollars a barrel as hopes of Iran peace talks wane

Waning optimism over a US-Iran peace deal and reopening the Strait of Hormuz sent Brent crude back above $100 a barrel, traders said.

  • Brent North Sea crude jumped almost 4.5% on Tuesday to edge back above $100 a barrel as waning optimism over a US-Iran peace deal weighed on global energy markets.
  • Optimism collapsed after the US military carried out strikes in southern Iran on Monday; Iran's foreign ministry stated the attacks in Hormozgan province amounted to a 'serious violation' of the fragile ceasefire in effect for nearly seven weeks.
  • Market analyst Rich McDonald noted that while talks remain alive, traders have made 'no progress on the hard issues,' as investment director Russ Mould cautioned that 'continued doubts about the potential for a deal' are keeping market euphoria in check.
  • Iranian negotiators arrived in Doha for fresh talks as Israeli military escalated operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon, with US Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicating negotiations could reach agreement within 'a few days'.
  • A proposed 60-day negotiation window would allow talks on Iran's nuclear activities and energy supplies, as commodities analyst Arne Lohmann Rasmussen said market optimism reflects 'the market's strong belief that the Strait of Hormuz will reopen'.
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Oil prices return to 100 dollars a barrel as hopes of Iran peace talks wane

It was nonetheless a mixed morning for the financial markets with UK stocks climbing higher and government borrowing costs falling.

·London, United Kingdom
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It will take several months to normalize, and even if Hormuz opens, oil prices are unlikely to fall. Traffic volume is expected to reach 50% of the current level after reopening. There is a risk of armed attack from countries other than Iran, and removing Iranian-launched mines will take weeks, leading to skepticism that a deal will not be reached. As the peace negotiations between the U.S. and Iran enter their final stages, regarding the reopen…

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Al-Monitor broke the news in Washington, United States on Monday, May 25, 2026.
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