Ohio Senate Special Election Moves to Toss-Up as Markets Price Flip Risk

Ohio Senate Special Election Moves to Toss-Up as Markets Price Flip Risk

Key Takeaways ▸ Markets see a real flip opportunity in Ohio’s Senate election: Sherrod Brown vs. Jon Husted are pricing as a near toss-up with Democrats slightly favored (~58–59%). ▸ Kalshi flipped from a GOP edge (~76%) to a Democratic lean, signaling changing sentiment ahead of November. ▸ Trading is still relatively light, but this seat could be pivotal for Senate control as midterms approach. The 2026 Ohio Senate special election has quietl…