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NOAA still expects ‘above-normal’ hurricane season in latest outlook

UNITED STATES, AUG 7 – Forecasters predict 13 to 18 named storms with five to nine hurricanes, including up to five major hurricanes, driven by warmer sea temperatures and neutral El Niño conditions.

  • On Thursday, NOAA’s latest outlook projects 13 to 18 named storms with a 50% chance of above-normal activity for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
  • Amid warmer-than-average seas and an active West African monsoon, NOAA said neutral ENSO conditions are expected to continue, favoring hurricane formation.
  • On Thursday, CSU forecasts a 55% chance of above-average activity, projecting 16 named storms, eight hurricanes, and three major hurricanes for the 2025 season.
  • As we enter the second half of the season, NOAA’s National Weather Service Director Ken Graham urges preparation, emphasizing each storm's life-threatening hazards and quoting `NOAA stands ready to provide the forecasts and warnings that are vital for safeguarding lives, property, and communities.`
  • The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to Nov. 30 with a peak on Sept. 10, and NOAA’s predictions include four storms formed this year, with climatological first hurricane on Aug. 11.
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Here’s what forecasters think the rest of 2025 hurricane season will look like

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration issued an August update to its 2025 hurricane season outlook, slightly lowering its prediction for how many storms to expect. However, the forecast still calls for this year to have an above-average season, and conditions are aligning for more tropical activity as we enter the peak hurricane period. On Thursday, NOAA said it adjusted the range of named storms from 13 to 19 down to 13 to 18. The…

·Cherokee County, United States
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Telemundo Houston broke the news in on Wednesday, August 6, 2025.
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