Potentially historic El Nino takes shape, with far-reaching US and global impacts expected
NOAA said the pattern has a greater than 90% chance of becoming very strong, with historic impacts possible as temperatures and storms shift.
- The Climate Prediction Center reported on Thursday that Nino is strengthening, with a greater than 90% chance of a very strong event during the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter 2026-27.
- This naturally occurring phenomenon emerges when weakening trade winds allow warmer ocean waters to accumulate in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, triggering erratic weather patterns and global temperature spikes.
- Japan's Meteorological Agency reported a 100% chance the phenomenon will persist through early 2027, with a 69% chance of a historic event exceeding the strength of previous occurrences since 1950.
- The World Food Programme warned that a powerful Nino event could push nearly 49 million people into acute food insecurity across some of the world's most vulnerable regions by the end of next year.
- Agricultural meteorologist Donald Keeney of Vaisala Weather in Finland noted that while confidence remains low, forecasters expect the event to peak near the end of this year, then subside "later in the winter and next spring.
131 Articles
131 Articles
California bracing for impact of ‘super’ El Niño
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center said Thursday that El Niño has strengthened in the past month, and there’s about a seven-in-10 chance it will be the strongest such pattern since 1950.
The authorities foresee critical scenarios for El Niño and urge the population to ration the use of drinking water.
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