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No cheery time for election pollsters in run-up to US midterms

  • Pollsters are entering the US midterm elections after several high-profile errors in recent elections.
  • In 2020, pollsters had their worst combined performance in 40 years by overstating Joe Biden’s lead over Donald Trump.
  • In 2024, polls again underestimated Donald Trump’s popular support, marking the third consecutive election with that error.
  • Prediction markets, including Kalshi and Polymarket, and persistently low survey response rates are adding pressure to the polling industry.
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17 Articles

Henry HeraldHenry Herald
+16 Reposted by 16 other sources
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No cheery time for election pollsters in run-up to US midterms

There are no guarantees that pollsters’ troubles in recent elections and popular skepticism about their dependability will be alleviated anytime soon.

·Georgia, United States
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goSkagit broke the news on Tuesday, September 22, 2026.
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