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Bank of Canada set to hold rates as strong growth collides with trade risks

Economists say trade-war uncertainty and inflation pressures leave little case for a move, with major banks and a policy council expecting no change.

  • On Wednesday, the Bank of Canada is widely expected to hold its key interest rate at 2.25 percent for a seventh straight pause as trade tensions cloud the economic outlook.
  • Governor Tiff Macklem's announcement comes amid a re-escalating trade conflict, with new U.S. tariffs and Ottawa's planned counter-measures creating economic volatility that complicates the policy outlook.
  • Market pricing put the odds of a hold at 94 percent Monday morning, while forecasting teams at RBC Economics and TD Economics project no change through year-end.
  • Canada's broad counter-tariffs, covering roughly $30 billion in U.S. imports, take effect September 8, with economists warning the measures could add a nearly $4 billion hit to Canadian households.
  • U.S. President Donald Trump has threatened steeper levies on autos beginning January 1, 2027, further complicating the central bank's path as trade uncertainty extends beyond year-end.
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26 Articles

Center

The Bank of Canada is likely to adopt the status quo between rising inflation and a sluggish economy.

·Montreal, Canada
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The Toronto StarThe Toronto Star
+18 Reposted by 18 other sources
Lean Left

Bank of Canada set to make 6th interest rate decision of the year

OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada is set to make its sixth interest rate decision of the year this morning.

·Toronto, Canada
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Bias Distribution

  • 50% of the sources lean Left
50% Left

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Financial Post broke the news in Toronto, Canada on Tuesday, September 1, 2026.
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