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New Times/Siena Poll Finds Mamdani Leading With 46% in Four-Way NYC Mayoral Race

  • A recent survey carried out between September 2 and 6 by Siena College and The New York Times revealed that Zohran Mamdani leads the four-candidate mayoral contest in New York City, garnering support from 46 percent of likely voters.
  • The survey included nearly 1,300 probable voters and had a 3.6 percentage point margin of error, showing Cuomo with 24%, Sliwa at 15%, and Adams trailing at 9%.
  • Mamdani's lead reflects strong backing for his affordability agenda, including nearly 70 percent support for freezing rent increases on rent-stabilized homes.
  • If both Adams and Sliwa dropped out, Mamdani's lead would narrow to 48 percent against Cuomo's 44 percent, a gap just outside the poll's margin of error.
  • Reports state Trump tried to persuade Adams and Sliwa to exit the race with federal job offers to consolidate support for Cuomo, but both candidates deny these claims and remain.
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Bias Distribution

  • 35% of the sources lean Left, 35% of the sources are Center
35% Center

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Siena College broke the news in on Tuesday, September 9, 2025.
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