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New Blood Test Predicts When Alzheimer’s Symptoms Will Begin

The blood test uses plasma p-tau217 to predict Alzheimer’s symptom onset with a three to four year accuracy, aiding targeted preventive trials and treatment planning.

  • Thursday's Nature Medicine paper shows researchers at WashU developed a plasma `clock` using p‑tau217 to estimate Alzheimer’s symptom onset within three to four years.
  • Funded by the Foundation for the National Institutes of Health Biomarkers Consortium, the project aims to enable earlier biological detection via blood tests to accelerate clinical trials and interventions.
  • The team analyzed data from more than 600 people aged 62 to 78 and found plasma p‑tau217 measured with PrecivityAD2 and ADNI assays predicted symptom onset, with a positive result at 60 linked to symptoms 20 years later.
  • In the short term, researchers expect the approach to accelerate trials by identifying people likely to develop symptoms soon, but experts including Zaldy Tan, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, caution against testing asymptomatic individuals outside research.
  • With dementia costs approaching nearly $400 billion in 2025, researchers urge replication in larger, more diverse populations and note study authors with consulting ties to diagnostic companies.
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A single blood test can predict when Alzheimer's symptoms will begin. An international team of researchers has developed a method to predict when Alzheimer's symptoms are likely to appear using a single blood test. Researchers at the University of Washington School of Medicine in the United States used the levels of a specific protein in the blood to predict when Alzheimer's symptoms will appear.

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Business Wire broke the news in Crystal River, United States on Wednesday, February 18, 2026.
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