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The Nationals’ Decision on Net Zero Will Push Sussan Ley’s Leadership to the Brink

The Nationals and Liberals are divided on net zero emissions, risking electoral backlash despite agreeing on some emissions reduction policies, analysts say.

  • Last week, the Nationals moved to decide on net zero as the Liberals likely drop support despite earlier claims of a united Coalition stance.
  • Ley's weakened position after resignations of Nampijinpa Price and Andrew Hastie, plus missteps, has deepened splits in the Liberal Party room, with Barnaby Joyce's opposition pushing Littleproud toward the Nationals.
  • Littleproud's recent maneuvers demonstrate the tactical calculus at play, as Coalition MPs discuss Ley's inevitable challenge and Joyce's influence despite his weekend absences.
  • Winning back major-city voters depends on presenting a credible climate policy, with Labor's renewables rollout and power costs for households and businesses in the next couple of years shaping outcomes.
  • Past miscalculations over the Voice inform current strategic caution, as Ley privately supports net zero but parties admit they misread opposition’s impact on Albanese’s last election.
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  • 50% of the sources lean Left
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The Canberra Times broke the news in Canberra, Australia on Saturday, November 1, 2025.
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