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Threat Grows in the Atlantic with New Models Showing Potential for U.S. Impacts

National Hurricane Center reports an 80% chance Invest 91L will develop into a tropical depression or storm by weekend, moving toward the Lesser and Greater Antilles.

  • On Thursday the National Hurricane Center designated Invest 91L in the eastern Atlantic, noting a 60% chance of formation in 48 hours and 90% over seven days near the Cabo Verde Islands.
  • Originating as an easterly wave off Africa, Invest 91L moved into the tropical Atlantic earlier this week as the season nears its Sept. 10 peak.
  • Moving slowly west‑northwest at 5 to 10 mph, Invest 91L is forecast to approach waters near the Lesser Antilles by the middle of next week.
  • Although the United States mainland faces no immediate threat, no watches or warnings have been issued as of Thursday, and interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the system's progress.
  • Given divergent model guidance and modest seasonal activity, long-term track remains uncertain with some global forecast models targeting the Greater Antilles, while Accumulated Cyclone Energy runs 13% below normal and six named storms have formed so far.
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  • 73% of the sources are Center
73% Center

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WOFL broke the news in on Thursday, September 4, 2025.
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