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Exclusive: More than 150 Polymarket Wallets May Have Traded on Military Secrets, Research Finds
More than 150 wallets may have used military signals to place trades, and analysts say the pattern could help foreign adversaries.
- A new analysis identified more than 150 wallets on Polymarket International that may have traded on inside U.S. military information, raising concerns the market could broadcast signals exploitable by foreign adversaries.
- These trades attracted copycat bets from deep-pocketed 'whales' and automated trading bots, with some wagers reaching $200 according to the report. The pattern suggests sensitive information may be leaking into public markets.
- Traders placed significant wagers hours before the June 2025 U.S. military strikes, demonstrating temporal patterns that suggest public markets might be reflecting confidential government data. The analysis identified these specific correlations as evidence.
- Polymarket International stated it maintains strict controls to monitor for suspicious activity and has referred dozens of trader wallets to authorities. Regulators pledged to strictly police misconduct in the space.
- Experts argue that limiting who can access these markets might be necessary to mitigate security risks, with some proposing all traders on Polymarket prove their identity. Identity verification could reduce exploitation by foreign actors.
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14 Articles
Roanoke Times+12 Reposted by 12 other sources
Exclusive: More than 150 Polymarket wallets may have traded on military secrets, research finds
Over 150 wallets on Polymarket International may have traded on inside U.S. military information, raising concerns that the market could broadcast signals exploitable by foreign adversaries, according to new research.
Military Leaks? Polymarket’s 97% Win Streak
Prediction markets don’t just reflect information; in thin, sensitive markets they can transmit it—turning operational secrets into tradable signals that sophisticated observers can read in real time. At a Glance An audit by the Anti-Corruption Data Collective (ACDC) surfaced 152 Polymarket wallets with extraordinary success on low-probability “military and defense” contracts, suggesting exploitation of privileged information. The anomaly rests…
·Minneapolis, United States
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Total News Sources14
Leaning Left1Leaning Right1Center12Last UpdatedBias Distribution86% Center
Bias Distribution
- 86% of the sources are Center
86% Center
C 86%
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