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Mideast war forces EU to slash eurozone 2026 growth forecast

The commission said the eurozone will grow 0.9% in 2026 and inflation will reach 3.0% as energy costs rise.

  • On Thursday, the European Commission cut its 2026 growth forecast for the European Union to 1.1% and the eurozone to 0.9%, citing sharply higher energy prices from the Middle East conflict.
  • After Iran retaliated to US-Israeli strikes, the conflict closed the Strait of Hormuz, triggering a major energy shock and marking the second such crisis in less than five years following Ukraine.
  • Inflation is now expected to reach 3.0% for 2026, up from 1.9%, exceeding the European Central Bank's 2% target while consumer confidence fell to a 40-month low amid rising costs.
  • Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni recently urged the European Commission to relax fiscal rules for energy, arguing that energy security requires the same budgetary flexibility as defense spending.
  • Brussels warned that Europe could face a worse scenario if energy prices continue rising through the year, potentially causing inflation to persist and stalling economic recovery into 2027.
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EU downgrades growth forecasts as the Iran war drives energy costs higher.

·New York, United States
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siol.net broke the news in Ljubljana, Slovenia on Thursday, May 21, 2026.
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