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Lula’s Lead over Bolsonaro Narrows Ahead of Brazil Vote, CNT/MDA Poll Shows

The poll shows Lula ahead 43.1% to 38%, with a likely runoff and 2,007 respondents surveyed, Reuters reported.

  • On Saturday, a CNT/MDA poll showed Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula leading Senator Flavio Bolsonaro 43.1% to 38% ahead of Sunday's first-round vote.
  • A September 15 poll previously showed Lula at 40.5% and Bolsonaro at 30.4%, demonstrating Lula's lead widened as the election approached.
  • When considering only projected valid votes, Lula reached 47.8% support against Bolsonaro's 42.1%, according to an MDA survey of 2,007 people with a 2.2 percentage point margin of error.
  • If no candidate exceeds more than 50% of valid votes on Sunday, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff on October 25, where Lula would receive 47.3% support.
  • Bolsonaro greeted supporters at a campaign rally in Santa Barbara do Oeste on October 3, one day before the general election, as the Liberal Party candidate seeks to narrow the gap.
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120 Articles

AftenpostenAftenposten
Reposted by
NettavisenNettavisen
Lean Right

Neither candidate is likely to win Sunday's presidential election in Brazil outright. Four new polls show a narrow lead for President Lula, but a near deadlock in a second round – with one poll giving Flávio Bolsonaro a narrow advantage.

·Oslo, Norway
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Lean Right

Brazil goes to the polls today. It promises to be a neck-and-neck race between the left-wing incumbent president Lula da Silva (80) and the radical right-wing candidate Flavio Bolsonaro (45). He is the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, who is serving a 27-year prison sentence for an attempted coup in 2022. Bolsonaro, with a radical right-wing and conservative agenda, advocates for a free market with minimal government intervention and tou…

·Hilversum, Netherlands (Kingdom of the)
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Svenska DagbladetSvenska Dagbladet
+6 Reposted by 6 other sources
Lean Right

80-year-old leftist veteran Lula da Silva faces right-wing candidate Flávio Bolsonaro as nearly 159 million Brazilians head to the polls on Sunday, with a close election expected in an increasingly polarized political landscape.

·Stockholm, Sweden
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Lean Right

Lula da Silva seeks re-election at the age of 80, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro tries to return power to the pocket camp. In Spain, Valencia is still a stage of protests.

·Lisboa, Portugal
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Right

Brazil's left-wing president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (80), will face radical right-wing Flávio Bolsonaro (45), the son of Lula's political arch-enemy Jair Bolsonaro, in the first round of the Brazilian presidential elections on Sunday.

·Amsterdam, Netherlands (Kingdom of the)
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Lean Right

The current President of Brazil, Luis Inácio Lula da Silva, is ahead of his main rival, Senator Flaviu Bolsonar, and is evidenced by the results of a poll by Datafolha, published prior to the first round of the presidential election.

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  • 46% of the sources lean Right
46% Right

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Poder360 broke the news on Wednesday, September 30, 2026.
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