Lula’s Lead over Bolsonaro Narrows Ahead of Brazil Vote, CNT/MDA Poll Shows
The latest CNT/MDA poll shows Lula ahead by 1 point in the first round and by 4.2 points in a likely runoff.
- On Saturday, a CNT/MDA poll showed President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leading Senator Flavio Bolsonaro 43.1% to 38% ahead of Sunday's first-round vote, with neither candidate reaching the 50% threshold needed to avoid an October 25 runoff.
- Both candidates concluded campaigns in Sao Paulo on Saturday, with 150,000 supporters attending Lula's rally; the 80-year-old president seeks a fourth term while Senator Bolsonaro, 45, campaigns on conservative policies and tax cuts.
- While the CNT/MDA survey of 2,007 people points to a 5-point lead, Brazilian data intelligence firm Quaest shows Lula at 46% and Bolsonaro at 45%, reflecting polling divergence as 160 million registered voters prepare to cast ballots.
- If no candidate secures more than 50% of valid votes Sunday, the top two finishers advance to an October 25 runoff; Senator Bolsonaro has pledged to pardon his father, former President Jair Bolsonaro, who is serving a 27-year prison sentence.
- President Donald Trump is monitoring the contest "very closely," following US tariffs on Brazilian goods that prompted Lula to allege "interference," while the election will shape Brazil's environmental policies regarding the Amazon rainforest.
127 Articles
127 Articles
Aftenposten
NettavisenNeither candidate is likely to win Sunday's presidential election in Brazil outright. Four new polls show a narrow lead for President Lula, but a near deadlock in a second round – with one poll giving Flávio Bolsonaro a narrow advantage.
Brazil goes to the polls today. It promises to be a neck-and-neck race between the left-wing incumbent president Lula da Silva (80) and the radical right-wing candidate Flavio Bolsonaro (45). He is the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, who is serving a 27-year prison sentence for an attempted coup in 2022. Bolsonaro, with a radical right-wing and conservative agenda, advocates for a free market with minimal government intervention and tou…
Svenska Dagbladet
80-year-old leftist veteran Lula da Silva faces right-wing candidate Flávio Bolsonaro as nearly 159 million Brazilians head to the polls on Sunday, with a close election expected in an increasingly polarized political landscape.
Lula da Silva seeks re-election at the age of 80, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro tries to return power to the pocket camp. In Spain, Valencia is still a stage of protests.
Brazil's left-wing president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (80), will face radical right-wing Flávio Bolsonaro (45), the son of Lula's political arch-enemy Jair Bolsonaro, in the first round of the Brazilian presidential elections on Sunday.
The current President of Brazil, Luis Inácio Lula da Silva, is ahead of his main rival, Senator Flaviu Bolsonar, and is evidenced by the results of a poll by Datafolha, published prior to the first round of the presidential election.
Coverage Details
Bias Distribution
- 50% of the sources lean Right
Factuality
To view factuality data please Upgrade to Premium
