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Limited Nuclear War Over Taiwan: An Initial Exercise

Summary by The Heritage Foundation
In October, The Heritage Foundation hosted and facilitated a tabletop exercise (TTX) titled TIDALWAVE II: Azure Dragon. The scenario was designed to introduce nuclear escalation between the United States and China three weeks into a high-intensity conflict over Taiwan in 2030. The results of the TTX and the post-TTX discussion provided strong directional evidence for the following insights: A high-intensity conflict over Taiwan would create co…

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The Heritage FoundationThe Heritage Foundation
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Limited Nuclear War Over Taiwan: An Initial Exercise

In October, The Heritage Foundation hosted and facilitated a tabletop exercise (TTX) titled TIDALWAVE II: Azure Dragon. The scenario was designed to introduce nuclear escalation between the United States and China three weeks into a high-intensity conflict over Taiwan in 2030. The results of the TTX and the post-TTX discussion provided strong directional evidence for the following insights: A high-intensity conflict over Taiwan would create co…

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The Heritage Foundation broke the news in on Thursday, January 29, 2026.
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