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Will Trump’s Tariffs Push the U.S. Economy Into Recession? Many Economists Think So.

  • Beginning June 4, the US increased its tariffs on imported steel and aluminum to 50 percent, raising worries about a potential economic slowdown and recession later this summer.
  • Economists link this tariff increase and ongoing trade tensions to higher inflation expectations and lower growth forecasts, creating uncertainty that leads businesses to delay investments and staffing decisions.
  • Negotiations between the US and Japan, especially on auto sector tariffs, remain unsettled, with risks that some Chinese production may shift to other Asian countries which could export to the US under lower tariffs.
  • Business leaders’ confidence halved this year, with 55 percent citing economic uncertainty, 41 percent blaming tariffs, and consumer confidence falling 5.4 points to 93.0 in June, signaling weaker private investment and hiring.
  • Apollo forecasts GDP growth slowing to about 1.2% in 2025, inflation remaining above average, and unemployment rising through 2026, while the Fed likely will cut rates if unemployment increases notably.
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kamcity.com broke the news in on Tuesday, June 24, 2025.
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