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Key Inflation Gauge Jumps to Highest Level in 3 Years as Iran War Spikes Gas Prices

Gas prices rose nearly 21% in March, pushing the Fed’s preferred measure to its highest annual pace since May 2023, economists said.

  • On Thursday, the Commerce Department reported the Federal Reserve's preferred PCE price index rose 3.5% annually in March, marking the fastest annual pace in nearly three years driven by a sharp hike in energy prices.
  • Gas prices jumped nearly 21% in March as the Iran War, now entering its ninth week, disrupted shipping in the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, choking off a vital waterway for oil trade.
  • During a Wednesday news conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged "people are experiencing higher gas prices all over the country now," while core inflation excluding food and energy rose 0.3% from February and 3.2% annually.
  • The Federal Reserve has maintained key short-term interest rates after cutting them three times last year, while consumer spending soared 0.9% in March but rose just 0.2% when adjusted for inflation.
  • High energy costs push inflation further from the Federal Reserve's 2% target using the PCE Price Index, complicating future policy decisions as the central bank typically keeps rates elevated to combat rising costs.
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TokenPost broke the news on Thursday, April 30, 2026.
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