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JPMorgan's Dimon warns Iran war may drive inflation and interest rates higher

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon warns the conflict in Iran could disrupt global energy markets, leading to persistently high inflation and interest rates.

  • On Monday, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon warned that the war in Iran risks oil and commodity price shocks that could keep inflation sticky and push interest rates higher than markets currently expect.
  • President Donald Trump threatened to target Iran's power plants and bridges if the regime does not reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a key waterway, ratcheting up pressure a day before Dimon's warning.
  • Dimon identified rising inflation as "the skunk at the party," warning that a "tipping point" of combined risks could cause interest rates to rise and asset prices to drop.
  • Separately, Dimon criticized revised capital rules proposed by U.S. bank regulators, calling the Basel-III and GSIB surcharge proposals "very flawed" and "absurd" for punishing the bank's success.
  • Despite geopolitical concerns, the JPMorgan CEO credited Trump's "One Big Beautiful Bill" tax cuts and deregulation as economic positives, noting that massive AI-related spending could boost growth this year.
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Jamie Dimon warns that the U.S. and Israel war against Iran could trigger another round of persistent inflation and higher interest rates, which could plunge the U.S. economy into a recession and redefine the...

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Reuters broke the news in United Kingdom on Monday, April 6, 2026.
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