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JP Morgan, Goldman Diverge on Hormuz Oil Flow Estimates

  • Middle East crude oil exports reached 13 million barrels per day in September, the highest level since February, as United States and allied efforts to circumvent Iran's control over the Strait show success.
  • The U.S. Navy and regional allies have "become better at fending off or evading" attacks, allowing more tankers to transit the Strait, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis published Tuesday.
  • Saudi Arabia increased exports to around 5.4 million barrels a day in September, while total regional shipments reached nearly 80% of prewar levels last week, according to research firm Kpler.
  • Despite rising exports, The Wall Street Journal warned Iran's loss of de facto control over the Strait could increase the risk of military escalation as the country faces potential fuel shortages.
  • President Donald Trump rejected an Iranian proposal on Saturday to reopen the Strait, while indirect mediation talks involving Qatar and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi continued without a breakthrough on Monday.
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The total oil supply from the Middle East to the world market reached 17.5 million barrels per day, which is 98 per cent of the pre-conflict level at the end of February. The crude oil supply from the Middle East recovered to 17.5 million barrels per day. This represents 98 per cent of pre-war levels, Bloomberg writes with reference to JP Morgan analysts. The oil oil supply, such as diesel and gasoline, reaches 3 million barrels per day, or 58 p…

(Seoul = Yonhap News) Reporter Lee Ji-heon = Crude oil exports from the Middle East have recently nearly recovered to normal levels prior to the outbreak of the U.S.-Iran war, CNN reported...

·Seoul, Korea (the Republic of)
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  • 47% of the sources are Center
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arabtimesonline.com broke the news on Tuesday, September 29, 2026.
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