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Japan Trims Economic Outlook as Elevated Oil Prices Weigh on Growth

The Cabinet Office cut private consumption and capital spending forecasts as higher energy prices lift inflation to 2.2%, Reuters said.

  • On Thursday, Japan cut its fiscal 2026 economic growth forecast to 0.9%, down from 1.3% projected in January, as higher oil prices linked to Middle East tensions squeeze household spending and corporate profits.
  • The Cabinet Office downgraded the outlook as persistent inflation and rising fuel prices strain an economy heavily dependent on imported energy, with crude oil price assumptions raised to $92.5 per barrel from $68.
  • Private consumption growth is now expected at 0.9%, down from 1.3% projected in January, while capital expenditure is seen growing 2.3% versus a previous forecast of 2.8%.
  • Consumer inflation is projected to reach 2.2% for fiscal 2026, above the government's January estimate of 1.9%, though nominal wages are forecast to rise 3.1% annually through fiscal 2027.
  • The Cabinet Office anticipates growth will accelerate to 1.1% in the following fiscal year, with the primary budget balance projected to return to a 1.4 trillion yen surplus in fiscal 2027.
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13 Articles

BloombergBloomberg
+2 Reposted by 2 other sources
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Japan Trims Its Economic Outlook as Oil Prices Weigh on Growth

·New York, United States
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ReutersReuters
+4 Reposted by 4 other sources
Center

Japan cuts this year's growth outlook as higher energy costs weigh

·London, United Kingdom
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WTVB broke the news on Wednesday, July 29, 2026.
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