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Japan PM Takaichi's party seen gaining lower house majority in election, Nikkei poll shows

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's Liberal Democratic Party is poised to surpass the 233-seat majority in Japan's lower house, fueled by high Cabinet approval ratings, surveys show.

  • The Nikkei's Jan 29 poll found Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's Liberal Democratic Party is likely to increase seats and, with the Japan Innovation Party, win 233 or more House of Representatives seats.
  • Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi called the snap election to seek a mandate for expansionary fiscal policy, triggering a spike in bond yields amid Cabinet approval rating 69% .
  • The LDP has endorsed candidates in 285 single‑seat constituencies, with 129 holding leads, and could win about 200 seats, while 176 proportional representation seats may increase from 59 to levels comparable to 72.
  • Market reaction has already shown as a spike in bond yields after the election call, and Takaichi has pledged to `immediately step down` if the LDP‑JIP coalition loses the lower chamber.
  • Weather warnings and the first winter lower‑house election in 36 years could limit turnout and campaign visibility, while early voting has begun amid delayed entrance ticket distribution estimated by Feb. 5.
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Japan PM Takaichi's party seen gaining lower house majority in election, Nikkei poll shows

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) is likely to increase seats and gain a majority in the Lower House in a general election on Feb 8, a preliminary survey by the Nikkei newspaper showed on Jan 29.

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熊本日日新聞社 broke the news in on Wednesday, January 28, 2026.
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