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Survey by Japan’s Central Bank Shows Business Sentiments Are up for Sixth Straight Month – WTOP News

Large manufacturers’ sentiment rose to +24, and firms’ inflation expectations stayed above the Bank of Japan’s 2% target, supporting more rate hikes.

  • On Thursday, the Bank of Japan released its quarterly Tankan survey, showing large manufacturers' sentiment rose to 24 from 22 in September, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of improvement.
  • While manufacturer confidence improved, the index for large non-manufacturers fell to 35 from 37, even as robust global AI demand cushions fallout from the Middle East conflict.
  • Corporate inflation expectations remain above the Bank of Japan's 2 per cent target, with firms projecting 2.5 per cent five years ahead, supporting the central bank's case for further rate hikes.
  • Thursday's survey reinforces market expectations that the Bank of Japan will raise rates by December, with former BOJ executive director Kazuo Momma estimating a 30 per cent chance of a hike.
  • Japan faces long-term structural hurdles including an aging society and labor shortages, as the Bank of Japan attempts to normalize monetary policy after decades of keeping interest rates near zero.
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Kyodo News+ broke the news in Tokyo, Japan on Wednesday, September 30, 2026.
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