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Italy's population to shrink by 4 million by 2050, stats agency says

ISTAT warned the aging population will strain Italy’s economy and welfare system as births fall and deaths rise through 2050.

  • On Monday, Italy's national statistics bureau ISTAT warned the resident population will shrink by nearly 4 million by 2050, falling from 58.9 million in 2025 to 55 million, threatening economic and welfare sustainability.
  • The share of Italians aged 65 or over is projected to jump to 34.5% by 2050 from 24.7% in 2025, while the working-age population falls to 55.3%, creating structural imbalance in the workforce.
  • Annual births, which fell to around 355,000 last year, are projected to drop to 335,000 by 2050, while deaths rise from about 652,000 annually toward a peak of 869,000 in 2058 as the post-war generation ages.
  • Poorer southern regions face the steepest declines, with population forecast to drop from 19.7 million in 2025 to 16.7 million by 2050, exacerbating economic inequalities between the north and south.
  • Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni made boosting birth rates a government priority upon taking office in 2022, but official reports indicate her efforts have produced scant results, leaving demographic decline largely unreversed.
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8 Articles

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The projections therefore outline a Italy deeply different from the current one: fewer inhabitants, an average older population, fewer people of working age and a growing presence of single-person households

·Rome, Italy
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quotidianosanita.it broke the news on Monday, August 31, 2026.
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