Italy's population to shrink by 4 million by 2050, stats agency says
ISTAT said births are falling and deaths are rising as the share of Italians age 65 and older climbs to 34.5% by 2050.
- On Monday, Italy's national statistics bureau ISTAT warned the resident population will shrink by nearly 4 million by 2050, falling from 58.9 million in 2025 to 55 million, threatening economic and welfare sustainability.
- The share of Italians aged 65 or over is projected to jump to 34.5% by 2050 from 24.7% in 2025, while the working-age population falls to 55.3%, creating structural imbalance in the workforce.
- Annual births, which fell to around 355,000 last year, are projected to drop to 335,000 by 2050, while deaths rise from about 652,000 annually toward a peak of 869,000 in 2058 as the post-war generation ages.
- Poorer southern regions face the steepest declines, with population forecast to drop from 19.7 million in 2025 to 16.7 million by 2050, exacerbating economic inequalities between the north and south.
- Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni made boosting birth rates a government priority upon taking office in 2022, but official reports indicate her efforts have produced scant results, leaving demographic decline largely unreversed.
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The families with offspring will fall from 7.5 million to 5.8 million by 2050. The change will arrive first in the North, already in 2038, while the nuclei with only one parent and the share of the single fathers will grow
In Italy, births have been steadily declining since 2008. In 2025 they fell to around 355,000, a number that has not been recorded since 1861. And everything indicates that by the end of the century, the country will have a population of less than 49 million. The post Low birth rate: The population in Italy will decrease by 4 million by 2050 appeared first on in.gr.
The increase in activity rates (+4.3 percentage points over the next 25 years) will balance in part the decrease of residents
Italy's population is shrinking significantly the latest forecasts of the National Statistics Office by 2050. Birth rates are reaching new lows, and immigration can hardly slow down the trend.
The birth rate in Italy is reaching new lows. In the coming decades, the population is forecast to shrink by millions. Nor could Prime Minister Meloni's measures stop the trend.
An increasingly empty and increasingly old country. It is the future of Italy described by the new report released today by Istat, which estimates a loss of more than 13 million residents over the next 55 years. According to the institute, it will proceed at a rate still contained in the short period and then accelerate abruptly in the following decades, redesigning [...] L'articolo L'Italia si emptua: entro il 2080 oltre 13 million inhabitants …
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