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Why Did Sen. John Cornyn Lose? The GOP ‘Ground Shifted Underneath Him’

Paxton won after Trump’s late endorsement and grassroots backing, while head-to-head polling shows Democrat James Talarico with a slight early edge.

  • On Tuesday, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton defeated four-term incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the Republican Senate primary runoff, securing the party's nomination for the Lone Star State.
  • President Donald Trump's endorsement of Paxton last week proved decisive, effectively ending the political career of Cornyn, a former party whip and prolific fundraiser who had previously opposed the president's 2024 run.
  • Paxton's dominance was overwhelming; he won all but 2 of Texas' 254 counties despite more than $128 million spent on advertising, mostly by groups attempting to save Cornyn.
  • The result reaffirms Trump's influence over the Republican Party, as he continues to successfully back candidates against establishment figures who have opposed his agenda at various points.
  • Paxton now faces Democratic nominee James Talarico in November's general election, with recent polling showing the Democrat holding a slight lead over the scandal-plagued Republican nominee.
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Bias Distribution

  • 61% of the sources lean Right
61% Right

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Texas Scorecard broke the news on Wednesday, May 27, 2026.
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