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The ‘Earthquake Gate’ Stopping a San Andreas Disaster Is Under Its Highest Stress in 1,000 Years

Researchers say a joint rupture at the Cajon Pass could be significantly more damaging than a single-fault event.

  • A new study led by University of Bern geophysicist Liliane Burkhard found southern portions of the San Andreas and San Jacinto faults are locked at their highest stress levels in 1,000 years, increasing the probability of a significant earthquake.
  • The Cajon Pass acts as an 'earthquake gate' that could transmit ruptures between the two fault systems, with the current stress difference measuring 0.8 megapascals, Burkhard said.
  • A joint rupture crossing the Cajon Pass could reach magnitude 7.4 to 7.8 and spread destruction from Los Angeles through Coachella Valley, which researchers say would be 'significantly more damaging' than a single-fault event.
  • UCLA professor Jonathan Stewart noted such an event would likely rupture most aqueducts providing water to Southern California, severely impacting critical infrastructure including highways, railways, and energy corridors.
  • City managers and emergency responders should plan for joint ruptures as a realistic possibility, Burkhard advised, emphasizing that preparation for Southern California's growing seismic risk must begin now.
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13 Articles

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+5 Reposted by 5 other sources
Lean Left

The ‘earthquake gate’ stopping a San Andreas disaster is under its highest stress in 1,000 years

Record stress along the San Andreas and San Jacinto faults could trigger a major earthquake around Los Angeles.

·Atlanta, United States
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Center

A critical charge is now being charged between the Pacific and North American plates on the west coast of the United States, warns a new study.

·Finland
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Lean Right

The failure of San Andrés and the San Jacinto system go through a critical point in southern California.A study led by Earth scientists from the University of Hawaii at Mānoa revealed that both structures reached their greatest tectonic tension in 1000 years and that, in some sectors, that level has already been exceeded.What the study on San Andrés and San Jacinto revealedThe work, published in Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth on Ju…

·Buenos Aires, Argentina
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Lean Left

New study reveals dangerously high levels in the San Andreas Fault, the highest in over 1,000 years, and reopens the debate: Is the "Big One" coming? Will it affect Arizona?

·Phoenix, United States
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Planetizen - Urban Planning News, Jobs, and Education broke the news on Thursday, June 18, 2026.
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