Trump’s Iran War at Six Months: 5 Scenarios for What Comes Next
U.S. officials say 13,629 strike munitions have been fired as sanctions target Iran’s remaining economic lifelines and negotiators keep talks alive.
- On Monday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent unveiled Operation Economic Outcast, targeting Iran's digital assets, gold, and shipping to "end the Iranian threat" through a "zero-leakage approach" against Tehran's remaining economic lifelines.
- Six months ago today, the United States launched Operation Epic Fury, firing 13,629 strike munitions against more than 13,000 targets; yet the Islamic Republic has not capitulated despite the extensive campaign.
- The Islamabad Memorandum, signed in June by President Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, remains the primary framework for talks, though its 60-day window has expired. CSIS estimates Patriot interceptor inventories have fallen below 1,000.
- Iranian and Omani foreign ministers met in Tehran this week to discuss a temporary shipping corridor through Hormuz, despite Trump threatening last week to "bomb the s*** out of them" if Oman interferes.
- Andreas Krieg, a Middle East security expert at King's College London, noted Iran needs recognition as an "indispensable security actor." Montgomery predicted a "stalemate with occasional outbreaks of violence" for the next six months.
17 Articles
17 Articles
Iran opens the door to dialogue after six months of war with the United States, but demands an end to the sanctions and blockade in Ormuz.
The fact that Trump has replaced a military war with a more intense economic war is not expected to alter Iran's strategy, although it will impoverish its population even more.
'Lost leverage across the board': Trump's strategy gets brutal update six months into war
Six months after President Donald Trump launched the war in Iran on Feb. 28 — predicting it would last four to five weeks — the conflict has instead become a defining liability of his second term.Iranian forces have withstood months of bombardment, using mines and drones to keep degrading U.S. military capacity cheaply, and Trump's options are narrowed by his own-self imposed limits, reported the Washington Post."Trump needs to reopen the Strait…
Bombardments, sanctions, negotiations: Six months after the beginning of the war, there is no prospect of peace between the US and Iran.
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