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India Expects Strong Economic Growth Despite US Tariff Hit

India's GDP growth is projected at 7.4% in FY2025-26, led by manufacturing and services, with nominal GDP expected to grow 8%, driven by investment and private consumption.

  • Today, the Indian government agencies reported fiscal projections indicating Real GDP of 7.4 in FY2025-26, up from 6.5 in FY2024-25, and Nominal GDP of 8%.
  • Manufacturing-Led gains and stronger investment drove 7.80% growth in manufacturing and construction—secondary sector, 9.9% in Financial, Real Estate & Professional Services and Public Administration—tertiary sector, with GFCF rising 7.8% and PFCE at 7.0%.
  • Sector-by-Sector GVA data reveal that the first-half fiscal 2026 figures include 7.8% in the June quarter and 8.2% in the three months ending September, with Agriculture & Allied Sector growing 3.1 and Electricity, Gas, Water Supply & Other Utility Services 2.1.
  • The projection positions India to become the world's fourth-largest economy as the Reserve Bank of India revised real GDP for fiscal 2026 to 7.3%, citing easing price pressures.
  • Trade tensions and tariffs pose risks as Indian exports to the U.S. face 50% tariffs since August last year, while the International Monetary Fund projected 6.6% GDP growth in fiscal 2026, moderating to 6.2% in fiscal 2027 if U.S.-India trade negotiations delay.
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NEWS9 LIVE broke the news in on Tuesday, January 6, 2026.
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